Ontario election: Where the leaders are on June 12

Today’s the day to get out and vote. The leaders spend most of their days waiting for the results to come in.

Liberals

Kathleen Wynne casts her ballot at 10:45 a.m. in Toronto (Riding: Don Valley West). In the evening, she holds her election night party in downtown Toronto.

Progressive Conservatives

Tim Hudak has one event in Mississauga in the morning (Riding: Bramalea-Gore-Malton), before his election night party in Grimsby, near Hamilton.

NDP

Andrea Horwath starts the day with a get-out-the-vote drive in downtown Toronto’s Kensington Market at 8:30 a.m. (Riding: Trinity-Spadina), then heads to her hometown of Hamilton for some canvassing in the afternoon (Riding: Hamilton Mountain) and election night party.

Ontario election: Where the leaders are on June 11

All the leaders have busy days on the day before the vote.

Liberals

Kathleen Wynne blitzes downtown Toronto today, with events at 8:15 a.m. (Riding: Toronto-Danforth), one at 1 p.m. (Riding: Beaches-East York), one at 2:20 p.m. (Riding: Trinity-Spadina), one at 3:30 p.m. (Riding: Davenport), one at 4:45 p.m. (Riding: Parkdale-High Park) and a final stop at 6 p.m. (Riding: Etobicoke-Lakeshore).

Progressive Conservatives

Tim Hudak starts at a window manufacturer in Mississauga (Riding: Bramalea-Gore-Malton), then heads to Waterloo for 1:30 p.m. (Riding: Kitchener-Waterloo), Niagara Falls at 4 p.m. (Riding: Niagara Falls), and a town hall in Jarvis  (Riding: Haldimand-Norfolk) at 7 p.m.

NDP

Andrea Horwath also makes quite a number of stops today on “whistlestop” tour: Mississauga at 8 a.m. (Riding: Mississauga-Streetsville); Brampton at 9:25 a.m. (Riding: Brampton-Springdale); Toronto at 10:40 a.m. (Riding: Etobicoke North), 11:45 a.m. (Riding: York South-Weston) and 1:15 p.m. (Riding: Scarborough-Guildwood); Oshawa at 2:45 p.m. (Riding: Oshawa); Belleville at 4:55 p.m. (Riding: Prince Edward-Hastings); and Kingston at 6:45 p.m. (Riding: Kingston and the Islands).

Andrea Horwath races to places she won’t win

Subtlety is not really Andrea Horwath’s thing.

To prove that she has not abandoned her party’s roots, the Ontario NDP Leader started this week by posing alongside a statue of a bicycle-riding Jack Layton. Now, in hope of demonstrating that her party has energy and momentum despite the perception it has run a lackluster campaign, she is going with a somewhat manic itinerary for her final day on the hustings.

All three major-party leaders are trying to squeeze in plenty of events before Thursday’s election. The Liberals’ Kathleen Wynne will do a half-dozen stops in Toronto ridings on Wednesday (most of them held by New Democrats). The Progressive Conservatives’ Tim Hudak will do one more of the manufacturer visits that have been a staple of his campaign, before visiting the target ridings of Kitchener-Waterloo and Niagara Falls (three of which are also held by New Democrats) before wrapping up in the safe PC riding of Haldimand Norfolk. But neither of the other two has anything on Ms. Horwath.

Her first event of the day will be in Mississauga-Streetsville, at 8:10 a.m. She’ll go from there to relatively nearby Brampton-Springdale for 9:25, then head from Toronto’s outer suburbs to its inner suburbs for stops in Etobicoke Centre at 10:40 and York South-Weston at 11:45. From there Ms. Horwath will veer across the city for a 1:15 p.m. visit to the riding of Scarborough-Guildwood, then head further east for a 2:45 drop-in on Oshawa. After that, she’ll set out on the 401 in hope of getting to the eastern-Ontario city of Belleville in time for a scheduled 4:55 visit, before finally getting to Kingston at 6:45 p.m. for an event alongside federal NDP Leader Tom Mulcair – following which Ms. Horwath will presumably collapse, and the reporters following her around will either do likewise or head to the nearest bar.

Beyond the sheer number of events, a couple of oddities stand out here.

Of the eight ridings Ms. Horwath will visit, precisely two of them – York South-Weston and Oshawa – are ones the NDP has even a chance of winning. A couple of others, Brampton-Springdale and Scarborough-Guildwood, are at least in the general vicinity of places where it’s competitive. But the swing out to Belleville and Kingston is peculiar, because even most New Democrats don’t think their party has any hope whatsoever in those places. And this after the NDP campaign has mostly been narrow-targeting the minority of ridings that are in play for it, and directing very few resources toward the rest.

The other, probably more telling quirk is that amid all this bus travel, Ms. Horwath will bypass Toronto’s core – a place where  two or three NDP incumbents are in tooth-and-nail battles to keep their seats.

Members of Ms. Horwath’s campaign team are spinning that omission as a sign of their confidence. But considering that reports from the ground contradict that, and that it would hardly be an admission of weakness to do a final-day event in the heart of the province’s biggest city, the better explanation is that her Toronto incumbents aren’t actually that keen to have her visit.

That’s a theory the Liberals (who are the ones trying to take those downtown seats) have been pushing through the campaign, so it should be treated with caution. But it also rings true, since most of the Toronto MPPs haven’t turned up even when Ms. Horwath has done downtown events, and she’s been used more sparingly in their campaign materials than elsewhere in the province. Ms. Horwath’s brand of populism just isn’t perceived to play well with left-of-centre urbanites – at least in the view of caucus members who are known to have had qualms about shifting away from the NDP’s more traditional turf.

None of the leaders’ itineraries, of course, are likely to make or break their party’s fortunes on Thursday. It’s maybe honourable for Ms. Horwath to use some of her remaining time on the campaign trail to reach out to ridings that aren’t likely to imminently reward her for doing so. Practically speaking, it has the advantage of not distracting volunteers in key ridings from knocking on doors. And at this point, the tour is largely about keeping morale up among the grassroots; perhaps New Democrats in parts of the province where their party has barely been campaigning will appreciate getting a visit from their leader.

Other New Democrats, though, may not be overly heartened by the symbolism of her racing around the province to places her candidates can’t win, while staying away from those they can’t afford to lose. And to those on the outside, it looks a bit like a fitting end to an NDP campaign that never quite found its focus.

Ontario election: Where the leaders are on June 10

In the final days of the campaign, the party leaders are racing to visit as many ridings as they can.

NDP

Andrea Horwath starts with an event in Essex at 8 a.m. (Riding: Essex), then to London for 11:15 a.m. (Riding: London North Centre), Brantford for 1:20 p.m. (Riding: Brant), and Waterloo for 7 p.m. (Riding: Kitchener-Waterloo).

Liberals

Kathleen Wynne begins the day with an 8:15 a.m. stop in Kingston (Riding: Kingston and the Islands), then pays a 2:30 p.m. visit to Trenton (Riding: Northumberland-Quinte West), and Pickering at 5:45 p.m. (Riding: Pickering-Scarborough East).

Progressive Conservatives

Tim Hudak starts in the Greater Toronto Area with a stop in Richmond Hill at 9:15 a.m. (Riding: Richmond Hill), then goes to Oakville for 11 a.m. (Riding: Oakville) and London for 2 p.m. (Riding: London West).

Ontario election: Where the leaders are on June 9

It’s the final week of the campaign. Here’s where the leaders are travelling today.

NDP

Andrea Horwath begins with an appearance next to the Jack Layton statue on Toronto’s lake shore at 8 a.m. (Riding: Trinity-Spadina). In the afternoon, she begins her swing through southwestern Ontario with a stop in Sarnia at 1:15 p.m. (Riding: Sarnia-Lambton), one at Wallaceburg at 2:30 p.m. (Riding: Lambton-Kent-Middlesex), Chatham at 4:30 p.m. (Riding: Chatham-Kent-Essex), and a 6 p.m. event in Windsor (Riding: Windsor West).

Progressive Conservatives

Tim Hudak begins at 8:30 a.m. with an appearance at a local candidate’s campaign office in Ottawa (Riding: Ottawa Orleans). Then he heads south into the Greater Toronto Area, with a 1:15 p.m. event in Brampton (Riding: Brampton West), a 3:30 p.m. in Brantford (Riding: Brant), 4:45 p.m. in Dundas (Riding: Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale), and a 7 p.m. townhall in Brampton (Riding: Bramalea-Gore-Malton).

Liberals

Kathleen Wynne is also in southwestern Ontario today, with events at 9 a.m. in Cambridge (Riding: Cambridge), 1:15 p.m. in Stratford (Riding: Perth-Wellington), 4:10 p.m. in London (Riding: London West) and 5:45 p.m. in London (Riding: London West).

Ontario election: Where the leaders are on June 7 and 8

Saturday, June 7

Liberals

Kathleen Wynne delivers remarks at Waterdown, near Hamilton, in the morning (Riding: Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale), then visits Niagara Falls in the afternoon (Riding: Niagara Falls), before swinging back into Hamilton (Riding: Hamilton Mountain).

NDP

Andrea Horwath appears with local candidates in Scarborough in the morning (Riding: Scarborough-Rouge River), then visits her home riding, with stops at a farmer’s market and campaign office barbecue (Riding: Hamilton Centre). Later, she visits Guelph (Riding: Guelph) and has an evening rally in London (Riding: London West).

Progressive Conservatives

Tim Hudak begins with a 10 a.m. stop in Mississauga (Riding: Mississauga East-Cooksville), a 1 p.m. stop at a dairy farm (Riding: Kitchener-Conestoga), and ends with a 5:30 p.m. town hall in Strathroy (Riding: Lambton-Kent-Middlesex).

Sunday, June 8

Progressive Conservatives

Tim Hudak hosts a morning town hall in St. Catharines (Riding: St. Catharines), then visits the Fort Erie Race Track in the afternoon (Riding: Niagara Falls).

Liberals

Kathleen Wynne starts with a late-morning visit to Mississauga (Riding: Bramalea-Gore-Malton), then heads to Waterloo in the afternoon for two events (Riding: Kitchener-Waterloo).

NDP

Andrea Horwath takes part in the Portugal Day Parade in Toronto in the morning (Riding: Davenport). In the afternoon she hosts ‘The Province’ on Newstalk 1010, and in the evening hosts a concert with K’naan (Riding: Toronto Centre).

Ontario election: Where the leaders are on June 6

Progressive Conservatives

Tim Hudak begins with an 8 a.m. speech to the Mississauga Board of Trade (Riding: Mississauga South), then visits a retirement residence in Toronto’s west end at 10 a.m. (Riding: Etobicoke Centre).

NDP

Andrea Horwath travels around the Greater Toronto Area today, with events in Milton at 10 a.m. (Riding: Halton), North York at 11:30 a.m. (Riding: York West), another at noon (Riding: York South-Weston), and at the Brampton Irish Centre  in the evening, joined by many local candidates (Riding: Brampton-Gore-Malton).

Liberals

Kathleen Wynne starts in Newmarket, in the Greater Toronto Area, at 9:30 a.m. (Riding: Newmarket-Aurora), and in Bolton at 3 p.m. (Riding: Dufferin-Caledon). In the evening, she meets local Liberals in Barrie (Riding: Barrie).

Ontario election: Where the leaders are on June 5

Liberals

Kathleen Wynne meets with media near Pearson airport (Riding: Etobicoke North) before speaking at the Canadian Club of Toronto just before noon (Riding: Trinity-Spadina).

PCs

Tim Hudak will be at ICOR Technology in Ottawa (Riding: Ottawa South) on Thursday morning.

NDP

Andrea Horwath makes an appearance on a morning radio show before stopping at the campaign office in Port Colborne (Riding: Welland). Then, she’ll attend an event at an ice-cream shop (Riding: Niagara Falls) and end the afternoon by touring the Meridian Centre construction site (Riding: St. Catharines).

Ontario election: Where the leaders are on June 4

Progressive Conservatives

Tim Hudak is at the Ajax Convention Centre (Riding: Ajax-Pickering)  Wednesday morning. He will be at a town hall meeting at the Sportsplex near Ottawa (Riding: Nepean-Carleton) in the evening.

Liberals

Kathleen Wynne starts her day in Vaughan, just north of Toronto, then speaks at the campaign office of Marie-France Lalonde in Ottawa (Riding: Ottawa-Orléans). Ms. Wynne, along with Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau, will spend the evening meeting with local Liberals. (Riding: Ottawa West-Nepean).

NDP

Andrea Horwath is campaigning across the Greater Toronto Area on Wednesday. After breakfast with supporters at Toronto’s Gladstone Hotel (Riding: Davenport), she will make stops at campaign offices in the ridings of Ajax-Pickering, Whitby-Oshawa and Scarborough Southwest before mainstreeting in downtown Toronto (Riding: Toronto Centre).